Obama as a Hawk, is there a foreign policy argument for re-election?

Asked at any point before May 1st of last year, the question above would have been ridiculous.  Outside of liberal intellectuals and college students, whose idea of “restoring America’s reputation in the world” is something on the order of “surrender and tell the bad guys you want to be friends,” few would have credited the [...]

 

West Virginia Democratic Presidential Primary Results

In yesterday’s Democratic primary in West Virginia, Keith Russell Judd, an inmate in a federal prison in Beaumont, TX serving a 17-year sentence, scored a whopping 40% of the vote against President Obama.  This clearly suggests that the once heavily Democratic West Virginia will be a solid state for Mitt Romney in the general election, as [...]

 

WPA’s Weekly Political Brief

As part of our continuing effort to keep our clients and friends up-to-date on the political environment as we head toward Election Day, 2012, every Friday WPA compiles the key numbers from the week and provides analysis of key trends. In addition to the key political numbers, this week’s analysis includes: Romney’s position coming out [...]

 

Why the Media Silence on Operation Fast and Furious?

It wouldn’t be surprising if you missed it, but the White House is refusing to allow a Congressional Committee access to a key witness in the ongoing probe into Operation Fast and Furious. Operation Fast and Furious is, of course, the incredibly stupid policy of letting automatic weapons find their way into the hands of [...]

 

WI, DC and MD Presidential Primary Results

In swing Wisconsin, Romney won,  but his 42-38% margin over Santorum was again unimpressive.  Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX-14) placed third with 12%, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich’s 6%.  But, Maryland might have been a bit more surprising.  Though it was a clean win for Romney, as all expected, he still couldn’t break the [...]

 

WPA’s Weekly Political Brief

As part of our continuing effort to keep our clients and friends up-to-date on the political environment as we head toward Election Day, 2012, every Friday WPA compiles the key numbers from the week and provides analysis of key trends. In addition to the key political numbers, this week’s analysis includes: Romney and potential trouble [...]

 

WPA Releases GOP Presidential Numbers in Texas

Methodology Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research conducted a research study of likely Republican primary voters across the state of Texas. Respondents were screened to ensure that they were neither a member of the news media or a public relations company. The sample for this survey was stratified based on gender, age, and geography. This methodology [...]

 

Three Things to Watch Tonight in Alabama and Mississippi

Another Tuesday brings another set of primaries—this time in Alabama and Mississippi. As always, we here at WPA Research will be watching the primaries closely, but we’ll be looking at some specific trends from throughout the race and try to understand any fundamental shifts that may be occurring as we revisit the South in the [...]

 

President Approval Rating Still Upside Down

President Obama continues to have dismal approval ratings, as 43% of Americans approve of the job he is doing, while 48% disapprove of his job performance as President.  Here’s the lasted Gallup chart that tracks daily the President’s job approval rating.   % Approve % Disapprove 03/3-5/2012 43% 48% 03/2-4/2012 45% 48% 03/1-3/2012 48% 46% [...]

 

Looking Ahead to Super Tuesday

(from the PRIsm political report) It’s quite possible that Super Tuesday, designed to give one presidential candidate a boost toward the eventual party nomination, may not be particularly definitive in 2012. Initial polling has been published, or trends are clear, in nine of the thirteen states hosting caucuses or primaries on or before Super Tuesday, [...]

 

Polarization and Politics

Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake over at The Fix posted an interesting analysis of Gallup data showing that opinions of Barack Obama are the most polarized by political party of any President at this point in his term in recent history.  George W. Bush was second at this point in his presidency and also had [...]

 

Obama Trails in Swing States

In the latest USA Today/Gallup poll of 12 swing states, Barack Obama trails Mitt Romney in 48% to 47%.     The problem for Obama is that the swing states include in the poll are all states won by Obama in 2008 by an aggregate of 8 points. These states also represent 151 electoral votes [...]

 

Resetting the Presidential Race: Obama Vulnerability

It is now less than 11 months until American voters will pick our next (and hopefully new) President.  While most of the stories you’ll read are, rightly, about the Republican nominating contests, the fundamentals of the general elections are taking shape around us every day and worth an examination. So let’s take a look at [...]

 

Gallup Comparison of 2012 GOP Primary versus 2003 Dem Primary

PRINCETON, NJ — The lead in the Republican nomination race has thus far changed seven times since May in Gallup polling. Mitt Romney, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, and Newt Gingrich each held the top spot at various points in 2011, with Romney’s standing rising and falling as other candidates surged and faded. Mike Huckabee led [...]

 

Guest Post: The myth of Biden’s political muscle

The political punditry and Washington press elites are lapping up the latest catnip from the White House: the news that Vice President Joe Biden is being sent to the battleground states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania to campaign for Obama’s re-election. The talking heads are awed at what they see as a brilliant move by the Obama White [...]

 

20-19-18-17 %

Selzer & Company, the polling firm that conducts the Iowa Poll for the Des Moines Register, was in the field during the November 10-12 period, this time for the Bloomberg News Service, asking some unusual political questions of 2,677 adults.  Within this large group, they found a subset of 503 individuals who said they were [...]

 

Weekend Reading: 11/11

I’m going to start off this week with a thank you to all of those reading this blog who served. I walked to work today with the sound of bagpipes in my ears and gratitude in my heart. Now, onto the interesting things that we’ve been batting around the office this week that might be [...]

 

Whistling Past the Graveyard: Obama’s Swing State Bus Tour Ignores His Real Problems.

President Obama is on the road again. Never missing an opportunity to waste taxpayer dollars in an increasingly desperate effort to get a second term, Obama will take his “pass this bill/it’s not my fault” tour to Virginia and North Carolina this week. That certainly makes sense as both are traditional swing states that Obama [...]

 

President’s Job Approval Continues Downward

President Obama Job Approval Polling Data Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread RCP Average 9/22 – 10/11 – 42.7 50.8 -8.1 Rasmussen Reports 10/9 – 10/11 1500 LV 45 53 -8 Gallup 10/8 – 10/10 1500 A 41 51 -10 ABC News/Wash Post 9/29 – 10/2 1002 A 42 54 -12 CBS News 9/28 – [...]

 

CNN Poll Shows Perry Holding Lead

Recent post debate polling shows Texas Governor Rick Perry maintaining his lead in the race to capture the Republican nomination for president.   Despite attacks by opponents and Washington insiders, Governor Perry has not seen a significant drop in his numbers. Perry continues to lead the field with 28% of the vote while his closest competitor, [...]

 

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