Category Archives: Polling

Three Thoughts on the Iowa Polls

So Ted Cruz won.  That was unexpected to a lot of people, included otherwise very good pollsters like Ann Selzer (who conducts the Des Moines Register poll) and Douglas Schwartz (who is the head of the Quinnipiac poll). The cat is pretty much out of the bag now though that it wasn’t unexpected to us […]

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Four Thoughts About Iowa Tonight

This isn’t a “what to watch” post. What to watch has been done and done better than I have the remaining mental resources to do it. But here are four thoughts about tonight’s Iowa Republican caucus.  If they help you with a deeper understanding of what happens tonight, you’re welcome.  If they don’t, well…to steal […]

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44 Percent Of Democrats Support Taking Refugees From A Fictional Country

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                       December 23, 2015  44 Percent Of Democrats Support Taking Refugees From A Fictional Country Press Contact: Lauren Luxenburg lluxenburg@wparesearch.com Washington, DC – Public Policy Polling, which is known for adding questions in surveys to exploit Republicans who are less informed, recently found that 30% of Republican voters would support bombing Agrabah, […]

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TFAS Alumni on the Campaign Trail: Chris Wilson

TFAS Alumni Newsletter TFAS ALUMNI ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL: CHRIS WILSON (ICPES 90) Whether it’s a nationally televised debate, or a friendly debate between acquaintances taking place on your Facebook news feed, it’s clear the 2016 primaries are right around the corner. America is in full swing election season, with less than one year from […]

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Cruz campaign credits psychological data and analytics for its rising success

Cruz has largely built his program out of his Houston headquarters, where a team of statisticians and behavioral psychologists who subscribe to the ­burgeoning practice of “psycho­graphic targeting” built their own version of a Myers-Briggs personality test. The test data is supplemented by recent issue surveys, and together they are used to categorize supporters, who […]

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Smartphones: the Way to Voters’ Hearts

As GOP candidates strategize after their August debate and Democratic nominees prep for their first debate on October 13th, one thing is clear: meeting voters where they are has become paramount in the 2016 presidential campaigns. Whether it’s Hillary Clinton’s super army of digital analysts or Rand Paul’s “Republican Internet” team, every candidate sees the […]

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Hillary is Not Inevitable

Watch the entire media spot here, or browse through a few highlights from the O’Reilly battle between Lisa and Mathew Hillary Clinton is NOT inevitable. Hillary just spent $2 Million in advertising in Iowa and New Hampshire- you can look at the numbers and see that she’s in trouble. She is losing ground with African […]

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Monday Morning Polls

It’s always fun to wake up on a Monday morning to new polling data.  It’s less fun to wake up to data that purports to be objective polling and yet misses that mark by a good bit. This morning ABC News/Washington Post reported a new poll on King v. Burwell under the screaming headline, “Public […]

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Keep end-of-August start day for schools

Keep end-of-August start day for schools Robert Scott, For the Express-News | May 14, 2015 A surprising number of bills has been filed in the Texas Legislature to change the school start date, currently the fourth Monday in August. When I served as the state’s commissioner of education, my job was to analyze education policy […]

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